Bring some clarity to your economic decisions.

Our economic modeling can help you assess the trends that are going to affect your business or region down the road. Be prepared for tomorrow’s news, whatever it might be.

Buy Forecasts Be a Sponsor Forecast Summaries

Cal Lutheran Economists Receive National Award

California Lutheran University economists Matthew Fienup and Dan Hamilton have been named recipients of a 2020 Crystal Ball Award for the Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey (formerly the Case-Shiller Home Price Expectations Survey).

CERF economists join WSJ survey group

California Lutheran University’s Center for Economic Research and Forecasting (CERF) has joined the select group of contributors to The Wall Street Journal’s Economic Forecasting Survey.

Latino’s Impact on the Economy Quantified

The Center for Economic Research & Forecasting, along with research partners at UCLA’s Geffen School of Medicine, released a new report which provides a factual account of the large and growing economic contribution of Latinos living in the United States.

CERF launches first of its kind water market

California’s first formal, centralized market for individual landowners to buy and sell groundwater has been launched on the Oxnard Plain, and the United States Department of Agriculture has awarded a $1.9 million grant to expand the pilot project later this year.

Cal Lutheran crystal ball on economy is No. 2

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) awarded second place in its annual most-accurate-forecast competition to two California Lutheran University economists.

The Case for Housing

By Dan Hamilton
Tuesday Mar 11, 2025

February 20, 2025 (original version) March 11, 2025 (updated) The Socio-Economic Importance of Housing A year ago, I outlined a variety of social and economic impacts from housing in the essay “Housing and Growth”. A link to the full essay is here. To review, I provide a list of the socioeconomic impacts here: Housing is… Read more

The Star: Logistics industry faces big backlash

Ventura County Forecast Event | RECAP
Monday February 24, 2025

View all upcoming events

Leaders in Economic Forecasting

Only the history books get it right every time, but we come close.
Meet the Team

Current. Relevant. Understandable.

Our modeling lets you see trends that may affect your business or region.
Read about our approach

Keynote Presentations in Plain English

Matthew Fienup has engaged more than 100 audiences on various topics.
Book your next event

Economic Forecasts and Events

Stay current on economic trends by attending a CERF forecast event.
View forecasts and events

Forecasts for the Oregon Region

Analysis, forecasts, and events for the Oregon region.
Learn More

Master’s in Quantitative Economics

Earn an advanced degree through our rigorous program.
Learn More

Financial Markets

Articles and Analysis by Jeff Speakes.
Read Articles

“Matthew, it was a pleasure to share the stage with you at L'Attitude. The report you and your team produced is vital, and it has made me more motivated to do more at Dow Jones...”

William Lewis
CEO, Dow Jones & Co.
Publisher, The Wall Street Journal

“The Cal Lutheran economic team has emerged as one of the state's best grounded and far-seeing prognosticators on California's ever-changing, rollercoaster economy.”

Dan Walters, Sacramento Bee Columnist

Center for Economic Research and Forecasting is a part of Cal Lutheran's School of Management.

Bring some clarity to your economic decisions.

CERF Blog

The Case for Housing

CERF in the News

Upcoming Events