CERF Blog: Posts from September 2010
We have some economic news out today. 453,000 filed initial unemployment claims, and the second quarter GDP estimate is 1.7 percent growth. The news people are practically ecstatic over this, proclaiming it’s good news. The markets seem to agree. Each of the stock markets are up right now. True enough, the unemployment claims are down… Read more
I get the following question, or something like it all the time. This time it came by e-mail. I thought I’d post my response. Here’s the question: When looking at the economy, unemployment, and job growth…..what consideration is given to the impact of the decline of jobs and/or elimination of jobs in the public sector… Read more
California has pending legislation, AB 2529, to require an economic impact analysis of proposed new regulation. Its opponents correctly point out that AB 2529 will delay and increase the cost of new regulation. There will be lawsuits and arguments over the proper methodology and over assumptions. It is not easy to complete a thorough and… Read more
California’s unemployment rate edged up from 12.3 in July to 12.4 percent in August, the Employment Development Department reported today. This was driven more by changes in jobs, (losses), rather than changes in labor force. California’s unemployment rate is third highest in the nation behind Michigan and Nevada. California’s month-on-month non-farm job growth rate worsened… Read more
The Fed’s national wealth report for the second quarter is out today. For a New-Classical Macroeconomist, this is one of the most important data releases. Wealth is one of the most important theoretical drivers of consumption, and it is one of the drivers in our forecast model of the United States economy. National wealth, i.e.… Read more
Last night we had a faculty meeting. One of the issues that came up was parking congestion. The University is growing, and this year there have been some problems finding parking spots. More parking was suggested, but the number of parking spaces isn’t the problem. The problem is that the University gives parking permits for… Read more
Here‘s Bloomberg’s report on today’s data release. One paragraph has caused the Drudge Report to run the headline “GOV’T MAKES IT UP: JOB NUMBERS ‘ESTIMATED’ FOR WEEK…” (Caps by Drudge). Here’s the paragraph: For the latest reporting week, nine states didn’t file claims data to the Labor Department in Washington because of the federal holiday… Read more
Mankiw has a post on the administration’s proposed changes in the tax treatment of investment. As usual, he is right on. The proposed treatment amounts to a zero interest loan, at a time when interest rates are already remarkably close to zero: However, the impact will be relatively modest. Notice that expensing merely accelerates deductions.… Read more
California Watch has a piece on the chief justice of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. Seems he wants poor judges. I have a problem with that. Judges come from the lawyer pool, and there are four types of lawyers, listed below by probability of being wealthy: Honest and competent Dishonest and competent Dishonest and… Read more
Things don’t look so good for Harrisburg PA. Here’s what CNN has to say: The capital city Pennsylvania is broke and will be skipping this month’s multi-million dollar bond payment.On Sept. 15, Harrisburg, Pa., was scheduled to make a $3.29 million payment on the bonds it issued to build a trash plant. But, the cash-strapped… Read more