Latest Articles

New GDP Data and 2013 Growth

The preliminary estimate of United States third quarter economic growth was released today. The growth number is 2.8 percent, stronger than any of the three quarters prior. The quarter 2 growth rate was 2.5 percent, […]

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The Volcker Rule

One of the major components of the 2010 Dodd-Frank financial reform bill (The Dodd-Frank Act) is the Volcker Rule that is designed to prevent banks from engaging in proprietary (or “prop”) trading, or in acquiring […]

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Economic History of the World

My favorite economics chart shows income divided by population (this is income per person) on the vertical axis and time on the horizontal axis.  The time line runs from prehistoric times to the modern era […]

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Sustainable Wealth

I have written several essays lately on various aspects of what I call the Sustainable Financial Plan (SFP).  My colleague at CLU, Bill Watkins, suggests that I produce a simplified version of these essays that […]

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China Quarter 2 GDP & 3rd Quarter Outlook

Dan Hamilton & Sean Liu As expected, China’s 2013 second quarter economic growth slowed, recording 7.6 percent compared with 7.7 percent in quarter 1. This data was released July 15th. This is a real growth […]

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New GDP Data, 2013 Growth, the Market Reaction, & the Effects of Government Expenditures

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released their annual comprehensive revision of the national income and product accounts on Wednesday, July 31. Most of the Financial news websites focused primarily on the first estimate […]

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The Ratchet Rule

In a prior blog I have discussed the components of building a sustainable financial plan.  There were two key steps:  first, take into account your “human capital” which is the present value of your estimated […]

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Productive Debt

How much debt is it reasonable for individuals to undertake?  I propose two criteria for answering this question.  First, you must be able to service the debt.  Second, the debt should be “productive” in the […]

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Why Do Markets Move?

When I worked for the Fed, there were televisions in our building’s gym, and they were always tuned to a financial channel. We joked about how the talking heads had an explanation for every market […]

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Building a Sustainable Financial Plan

Mistakes In 2012, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke1 gave a speech on the importance of financial education.  People commonly make financial mistakes such as saving too little, taking on too much debt, holding too little […]

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Decline of the UC system

Previously Published in the Orange County Register on May 20. The headline read, “USC steals 2 star brain researchers from UCLA.” But there is much more to the story than what was in the article, […]

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The Bank Capital Debate

One of the lessons that many people have taken from the financial crisis is that there was too much debt and leverage and too little equity capital.  Capital serves as a buffer against loss.  If […]

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