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Good Derivative, Bad Derivative

Some financial innovations are good ideas and make large contributions to economic growth and prosperity.  Others are not so good and can lead to bad outcomes including excessive leverage, financial fragility and even financial crises.  […]

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The Advance Estimate of Quarter 1 GDP

The first release of GDP data came out this morning with an advance estimate of 2.2 percent growth for quarter 1. Contributions of growth from the major components were: Consumption Expenditures                       2.04 […]

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Student Loans: the Next Subprime?

Student loans now total over $1 trillion and delinquency rates are rising.  Many young people are burdened in their 20’s with tens of thousands of dollars of student debt.  Some commentators have pointed to student […]

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Why Must We Have These Large Banks?

I am worried that societies and/or their governments have chosen to commit taxpayers to underwriting the solvency of banks. Economic research has shown clear benefits to financial intermediation. The collection of savings creates a pool […]

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Why are Long-Term Rates So Low?

Last month the Federal Reserve released minutes from the March 13 FOMC meeting.  These minutes suggest that the members perceived the economy to be improving.  The knee jerk reaction of market observers was to conclude […]

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The U.S. Jobs Report: March 2012

The United States Employment Situation for March indicates a cooling of job growth that is consistent with our forecast, although somewhat more pronounced than our forecast. It was the services part of the economy that […]

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No Smoking, Except for Bob Lucas

David R. Henderson has a nice piece on property rights.  The title of this post is a quote from Henderson’s article. It’s a nice piece with three example of “policy issues’ that cause conflict and […]

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Human Capital

The Fed’s Flow of Funds (FOF) report shows that household sector net worth is approximately $60 trillion.  This wealth in concentrated in households headed by people aged 50 or older.  After all, for most people […]

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Immigration and American Jobs

The title of this post is the title of a paper by Madeline Zavodny.  In the paper, Zavodny tests  to see if immigrants, especially educated immigrants, create jobs for resident Americans or take jobs away […]

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Capital Adequacy and the Stress Test

A couple weeks ago the Federal Reserve announced results of the latest Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR), aka stress test, for large banks.  The stress scenario included 13% unemployment, a 50% drop in stock […]

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Strange Behaviors

Dan Walters has a piece on California’s proposed licensing of interior designers, and I recommend you read it.  Here’s his concluding paragraphs: Is there any public interest need for such licensing? If an interior designer botches […]

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The 90% Versus the 10%

Last week the Federal Reserve released the Flow of Funds (FOF) report for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.  The report showed that household sector net worth increased by $1.2 trillion during the quarter to […]

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